Burnley v Watford – Prediction

Betting Tips - Burnley v Watford - 2016 EPL

Neither Burnley nor Watford has ever won a Premier League game played on a Monday night. Apart from their 2-0 win over Liverpool, a game in which they had just 19% of possession all game, the Clarets have pretty much struggled this season. The game against Watford presents their best chance of getting some points on board before they embark on a tough run of fixtures.

The Hornets will be looking for consistency, after a slow start they have stamped their authority to two impressive wins against West Ham and United. They start as the favorites against Burnley but might just fail at collecting the three points.

Verdict: (1-1) 

Fixture Overview

Gameweek 6

Burnley v Watford

Turf Moor, Burnley

26-09-2016, 20:00 CET

Betting Tips – Burnley v Watford

1. Result – Draw – 3.30 (Betvictor)

The last four meetings between these two sides have ended in draws. The strong performances in their last two games have made Watford the favorite in front of the bookies. While they were impressive, the question remains whether they can continue it against a stubborn Burnley side. We are backing for it to end as a 1-1 or 0-0 draw but if you disagree with this, the odds for both the teams are listed below.

Burnley Win – 3.15 (Marathon Bet)

Watford Win – 2.63 (Paddypower)

2. Under 2.5 Goals – 1.78 (Marathon Bet)

Burnley at home don’t concede much, even if they do they don’t concede more than one as their last 16 home games have shown. Either Watford or Burnley may pick up the win but we can’t see this game having too many goals in it.

3. Most Bookings – Watford – 1.80 (Bwin.com)

Watford have gathered a total of 18 yellow cards in their 5 games as to opposed to Burnley who’ve just collected 8. The odds are decent but it looks a sure winner.

4. Total Cards – Over 3.5 – 1.87 (888 Sport)

Watford themselves have averaged more than 3 per game, so this again looks a safe bet with decent odds.

All Odds courtesy of Oddschecker [1]

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Burnley manager - Sean Dyche

Sean Dyche (Pic Cou: Skysports.com)

Burnley come into this game on the back of a 3-0 defeat against Leicester last week. Apart from their 2-0 win over Liverpool, it’s been a sour campaign for the Clarets so far. A defeat on Monday could see them slip into the relegation zone for the 1st time this season. Dyche could revert back to a familiar 4-4-2 formation as the tactical switch to a 4-2-3-1 formation, didn’t pay any dividends against the Foxes.

Sean Dyche who begin can his managerial career with the Hornets, will be looking forward to facing his former club in the top flight for the first time. Watford did do well under the English manager in the 2011/12 season, winning 17 of the 49 games in all competitions. It was the first time in 4 years that Watford had finished in the top half of Championship (11th) back then. If not for a takeover of the club by the Pozzo family at the end of the season,Dyche might have still remained with the Hornets.

8 – Burnley has not lost any of their last eight home games against Watford (4 W & 4 D)

The Clarets have conceded just five goals in their last 16 games at Turf Moor (including the games in the Championship). Even when they’ve conceded it has never been more than a single goal. Burnley has lost both their Premier League games played on a Monday night, Everton in December 2009 & Chelsea in August 2014.

Burnley do not have any major injury concerns, the only absentee among their ranks is Ashley Barnes who is still recovering from a hamstring injury. The 26 year old striker should be fit by the time Burnley travel to Arsenal in their next game.

Burnley 2016-17 Betting Tips


Watford Leading Scorer- Capoue

Etienne Capoue (Pic Cou: Skysports.com)

Watford come into this game on the back of a 3-1 win over Manchester United last week. It was an almost perfect performance by the Hornets as they registered their 1st ever win over the Red Devils in 30 years. The 3-1 win also meant that Watford had scored three of more goals in consecutive games for the first time since the 2010/11 Championship season.

Mazzari can take pride at where Watford are in the table. Looking at the fixtures at the start of the season, not many would have predicted Watford to come out with 7 points from their first 5 games, where they had to face the likes of Chelsea, Arsenal and United. Like Burnley, Watford has never won a Premier league game played on a Monday night. The Hornets suffered Monday night defeats to Spurs and Swansea last season.

Troy Deeney who is in the verge of a England call-up [2] has a decent scoring record against the Clarets, the striker has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games against them. The striker is just two goals away from being the fifth player after Cliff Holton, Tommy Barnett, Luther Blissett and Ross Jenkins to score 100 or more goals for the Hornets.

Daryl Janmaat who picked up a injury against United is ruled for almost 6 weeks. Stefano Okaka is another players who will missing on Monday, but is expected to feature after the international break.

Watford 2016-17 Betting Tips

Past Meeting – Burnley v Watford

The last time these two teams at Turf Moor, the game ended in a 0-0 draw (2013/14 Championship). The reverse fixture at Vicarage Road also ended in draw (1-1) with Troy Deeney and Scott Arfield grabbing the respective goals for their clubs. Burnley would go on to gain promotion that season finishing as the Championship runners-up while Watford had to wait for another season.

Where they are in the table

17th – Burnley – 5 games – 4 points – (-5 GD)

10th – Watford – 5 games – 7 points – (+1 GD)

External Resources

[1] Oddschecker.com, Oddschecker Premier League Home Page

[2] Goal.com, Troy Deeney deserves an England call-up